Expertos advierten sobre el achicamiento de la balanza cambiaria; cayó un 70% en dos años
Bolivia faces a deepening currency deficit driven by declining export revenues and rising import costs, creating a structural imbalance that threatens macroeconomic stability. Economists warn that the country’s reliance on imported capital goods and intermediate products, coupled with stagnating primary exports like natural gas, has outpaced foreign exchange earnings. This persistent outflow of dollars is eroding international reserves and intensifying the scarcity of currency, which has been a critical issue since early 2023. Experts emphasize that without diversifying the export basket and attracting foreign investment, the pressure on the economy will continue to worsen, risking greater volatility and inflation. The situation highlights the limitations of current regulatory approaches, with former central bank officials arguing that currency controls are merely temporary fixes rather than long-term solutions. They advocate for liberalizing the foreign exchange market to align official and parallel exchange rates, ensuring that new debt disbursements exceed amortization and interest payments. This structural adjustment is presented as essential to restore balance, as the current model fails to generate sufficient inflows to cover external obligations and essential imports, leaving the state’s fiscal redistribution mechanisms vulnerable. This analysis is highly relevant to open data because it underscores the necessity of transparent, accessible, and timely statistical information for economic monitoring and policy-making. By utilizing publicly available data from the Central Bank of Bolivia, independent economists and civil society organizations can identify emerging fiscal trends, assess the effectiveness of government measures, and foster public debate on economic sustainability. Open data thus serves as a crucial tool for accountability, enabling stakeholders to detect structural weaknesses in the balance of payments and advocate for evidence-based reforms that ensure long-term economic resilience.
Source: eju.tvPublished on 2024-09-30