El dolor de cabeza de la inflación de EEUU ha desaparecido, dice el economista Steve Hanke. Paul Krugman y Mohamed El-Erian no están tan seguros

The recent release of U.S. economic data has sparked intense debate about the current trajectory of inflation and its impact on monetary policy. With the significant drop in consumer prices reported, some experts are celebrating the end of the inflationary threat, attributing this trend to the contraction of the money supply and predicting that the Federal Reserve will achieve its stability goals without triggering a severe recession. This perspective suggests that restrictive measures have been effective and that the focus should be on maintaining this favorable dynamic for businesses and households. However, a more cautious stance warns that recent data could be distorted by seasonal adjustments or the temporary dissipation of pandemic-related disruptions. Skeptical economists point out that although inflation has decreased, uncertainty remains regarding whether this trend is sustainable or if prices will resurge, which would necessitate keeping interest rates high. This scenario poses the risk that the fight against inflation could ultimately negatively affect economic growth, challenging the narrative of uninterrupted growth and highlighting the delicate balance between controlling prices and preserving employment. This analysis is relevant to open data because it illustrates how transparency and access to accurate official data are crucial for public debate and economic decision-making. The divergence in interpretations of the same indicator demonstrates that, beyond numerical availability, it is essential to understand the context and methodologies behind the data. Promoting open access to economic information allows multiple voices, from academics to citizens, to critically evaluate policies, ensuring an informed economic democracy and reducing the information asymmetry that often affects households and businesses.

Source: bolsamania.com
Published on 2023-07-15