AXA IM: "La inflación general se mantendrá volátil entre el 2,5% y el 3% durante 2024"

The article highlights a notable moderation in Eurozone inflation, which fell below 3% for the first time since 2021, catching major central banks off guard as they had anticipated prolonged high interest rates. While energy effects are driving this decline, experts warn that reaching the ECB’s 2% target will take longer than expected, with inflation expected to remain volatile and sticky core prices keeping monetary authorities on alert through 2025. Economic growth in the region is projected to be primarily driven by private consumption, supported by rising real wages and high household savings, despite a slowdown in wage growth. Conversely, investment remains a headwind due to deteriorating residential construction and mortgage lending, although fiscal support and strong corporate finances may limit the damage. The economy is expected to grow moderately, with weak demand leading to a gradual increase in unemployment. This content is relevant to open data because it underscores the critical role of timely, transparent economic indicators in shaping financial markets and policy decisions. The discrepancy between institutional forecasts and actual data demonstrates the value of accessible, high-quality datasets for independent analysis and early trend detection. By monitoring open metrics on inflation and growth, analysts can better understand the shifting dynamics of supply and demand, ensuring that economic narratives are grounded in empirical reality rather than outdated assumptions.

Source: bolsamania.com
Published on 2023-12-28

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